{
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 1,
  "retrievedAt": "2026-09-15T15:48:53+00:00",
  "predictionTimestamp": "2026-09-06T04:15:07+00:00",
  "predictionUrl": "/data/defense/2026-week-1-2026-09-06T041507Z.json",
  "scoring": "ESPN custom league scoring; appliedTotal as reported, not ESPN default scoring",
  "metrics": {
    "graded": 32,
    "total": 32,
    "top5Graded": 5,
    "top5Mean": 8.6,
    "allMean": 4.59,
    "spearman": 0.3244
  },
  "rows": [
    {
      "team": "JAX",
      "name": "Jacksonville Jaguars",
      "predictedRank": 1,
      "opponentPoints": 16.5,
      "matchup": "vs CLE",
      "points": 13.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872922",
      "actualRank": 3
    },
    {
      "team": "LAC",
      "name": "Los Angeles Chargers",
      "predictedRank": 2,
      "opponentPoints": 18.25,
      "matchup": "vs ARI",
      "points": 0.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872926",
      "actualRank": 23
    },
    {
      "team": "LV",
      "name": "Las Vegas Raiders",
      "predictedRank": 3,
      "opponentPoints": 18.5,
      "matchup": "vs MIA",
      "points": 13.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872928",
      "actualRank": 3
    },
    {
      "team": "TEN",
      "name": "Tennessee Titans",
      "predictedRank": 4,
      "opponentPoints": 19.0,
      "matchup": "vs NYJ",
      "points": -1.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872924",
      "actualRank": 26
    },
    {
      "team": "PIT",
      "name": "Pittsburgh Steelers",
      "predictedRank": 5,
      "opponentPoints": 19.25,
      "matchup": "vs ATL",
      "points": 18.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872658",
      "actualRank": 1
    },
    {
      "team": "PHI",
      "name": "Philadelphia Eagles",
      "predictedRank": 6,
      "opponentPoints": 19.75,
      "matchup": "vs WAS",
      "points": 2.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872929",
      "actualRank": 19
    },
    {
      "team": "KC",
      "name": "Kansas City Chiefs",
      "predictedRank": 7,
      "opponentPoints": 20.25,
      "matchup": "vs DEN",
      "points": 12.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872931",
      "actualRank": 6
    },
    {
      "team": "NYJ",
      "name": "New York Jets",
      "predictedRank": 8,
      "opponentPoints": 20.5,
      "matchup": "@ TEN",
      "points": 9.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872924",
      "actualRank": 8
    },
    {
      "team": "SEA",
      "name": "Seattle Seahawks",
      "predictedRank": 9,
      "opponentPoints": 20.5,
      "matchup": "vs NE",
      "points": 13.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872656",
      "actualRank": 3
    },
    {
      "team": "DET",
      "name": "Detroit Lions",
      "predictedRank": 10,
      "opponentPoints": 21.25,
      "matchup": "vs NO",
      "points": 7.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872923",
      "actualRank": 11
    },
    {
      "team": "BUF",
      "name": "Buffalo Bills",
      "predictedRank": 11,
      "opponentPoints": 21.5,
      "matchup": "@ HOU",
      "points": 3.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872660",
      "actualRank": 16
    },
    {
      "team": "MIA",
      "name": "Miami Dolphins",
      "predictedRank": 12,
      "opponentPoints": 22.0,
      "matchup": "@ LV",
      "points": 3.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872928",
      "actualRank": 16
    },
    {
      "team": "BAL",
      "name": "Baltimore Ravens",
      "predictedRank": 13,
      "opponentPoints": 22.25,
      "matchup": "@ IND",
      "points": 5.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872659",
      "actualRank": 14
    },
    {
      "team": "CHI",
      "name": "Chicago Bears",
      "predictedRank": 14,
      "opponentPoints": 22.5,
      "matchup": "@ CAR",
      "points": 3.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872661",
      "actualRank": 16
    },
    {
      "team": "LA",
      "name": "Los Angeles Rams",
      "predictedRank": 15,
      "opponentPoints": 22.5,
      "matchup": "vs SF \u00b7 neutral",
      "points": 1.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872657",
      "actualRank": 22
    },
    {
      "team": "MIN",
      "name": "Minnesota Vikings",
      "predictedRank": 16,
      "opponentPoints": 22.5,
      "matchup": "vs GB",
      "points": 7.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872927",
      "actualRank": 11
    },
    {
      "team": "ATL",
      "name": "Atlanta Falcons",
      "predictedRank": 17,
      "opponentPoints": 22.75,
      "matchup": "@ PIT",
      "points": 5.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872658",
      "actualRank": 14
    },
    {
      "team": "DAL",
      "name": "Dallas Cowboys",
      "predictedRank": 18,
      "opponentPoints": 23.0,
      "matchup": "@ NYG",
      "points": 0.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872930",
      "actualRank": 23
    },
    {
      "team": "HOU",
      "name": "Houston Texans",
      "predictedRank": 19,
      "opponentPoints": 23.0,
      "matchup": "vs BUF",
      "points": -5.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872660",
      "actualRank": 31
    },
    {
      "team": "DEN",
      "name": "Denver Broncos",
      "predictedRank": 20,
      "opponentPoints": 23.25,
      "matchup": "@ KC",
      "points": 0.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872931",
      "actualRank": 23
    },
    {
      "team": "CIN",
      "name": "Cincinnati Bengals",
      "predictedRank": 21,
      "opponentPoints": 23.5,
      "matchup": "vs TB",
      "points": 18.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872925",
      "actualRank": 1
    },
    {
      "team": "CLE",
      "name": "Cleveland Browns",
      "predictedRank": 22,
      "opponentPoints": 24.0,
      "matchup": "@ JAX",
      "points": -3.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872922",
      "actualRank": 29
    },
    {
      "team": "GB",
      "name": "Green Bay Packers",
      "predictedRank": 23,
      "opponentPoints": 24.0,
      "matchup": "@ MIN",
      "points": -2.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872927",
      "actualRank": 28
    },
    {
      "team": "NE",
      "name": "New England Patriots",
      "predictedRank": 24,
      "opponentPoints": 24.0,
      "matchup": "@ SEA",
      "points": 6.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872656",
      "actualRank": 13
    },
    {
      "team": "WAS",
      "name": "Washington Commanders",
      "predictedRank": 25,
      "opponentPoints": 24.75,
      "matchup": "@ PHI",
      "points": 2.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872929",
      "actualRank": 19
    },
    {
      "team": "CAR",
      "name": "Carolina Panthers",
      "predictedRank": 26,
      "opponentPoints": 25.0,
      "matchup": "vs CHI",
      "points": -6.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872661",
      "actualRank": 32
    },
    {
      "team": "NYG",
      "name": "New York Giants",
      "predictedRank": 27,
      "opponentPoints": 25.5,
      "matchup": "vs DAL",
      "points": 2.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872930",
      "actualRank": 19
    },
    {
      "team": "IND",
      "name": "Indianapolis Colts",
      "predictedRank": 28,
      "opponentPoints": 25.75,
      "matchup": "vs BAL",
      "points": -3.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872659",
      "actualRank": 29
    },
    {
      "team": "SF",
      "name": "San Francisco 49ers",
      "predictedRank": 29,
      "opponentPoints": 26.0,
      "matchup": "vs LA \u00b7 neutral",
      "points": 8.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872657",
      "actualRank": 9
    },
    {
      "team": "TB",
      "name": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers",
      "predictedRank": 30,
      "opponentPoints": 27.0,
      "matchup": "@ CIN",
      "points": 8.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872925",
      "actualRank": 9
    },
    {
      "team": "NO",
      "name": "New Orleans Saints",
      "predictedRank": 31,
      "opponentPoints": 28.25,
      "matchup": "@ DET",
      "points": -1.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872923",
      "actualRank": 26
    },
    {
      "team": "ARI",
      "name": "Arizona Cardinals",
      "predictedRank": 32,
      "opponentPoints": 28.75,
      "matchup": "@ LAC",
      "points": 10.0,
      "status": "Final",
      "gameUrl": "https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401872926",
      "actualRank": 7
    }
  ],
  "status": "Final",
  "predictionSha256": "f26b9427c80cbd27f137efc79cdcb7a92fef64817fc3bb6dcb45823bd5318510"
}